Get ready for the 2026 Texas primary elections! The state is gearing up for a pivotal election year, with voters casting their ballots for key positions like U.S. Senate, Governor, and more. But here's where it gets controversial... Who will emerge as the front-runners in the Democratic and Republican primaries for these high-stakes races? And will the results align with the expected vote percentages (EVPs) based on early voting trends and recent election turnout? Stay tuned as we dive into the races to watch and explore the data behind the election predictions. But first, let's set the stage for this critical election cycle.
Races to Watch
U.S. Senate
- Democratic Primary: Who will be the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate? Will it be a seasoned politician or a fresh face?
- Republican Primary: The battle for the Republican nomination promises to be intense. Who will emerge as the party's standard-bearer for the U.S. Senate?
Governor
- Democratic Primary: The race for Governor is heating up. Who will be the Democratic candidate to challenge the incumbent?
- Republican Primary: The Republican primary is also crucial. Who will be the party's choice for Governor?
Texas Attorney General
- Democratic Primary: The Democratic primary for Texas Attorney General is a key contest. Who will be the party's nominee to take on the incumbent?
- Republican Primary: The Republican primary for this position is also significant. Who will be the Republican nominee?
Comptroller
- Democratic Primary: The Democratic primary for Comptroller is a race to watch. Who will be the party's candidate?
- Republican Primary: Similarly, the Republican primary for Comptroller is crucial. Who will be the Republican nominee?
Railroad Commissioner
This race is also worth keeping an eye on. Who will be the next Railroad Commissioner?
About the Data
The Associated Press (AP) plays a pivotal role in providing election results for most federal and statewide races. AP correspondents report from election centers across the country, and their tabulated data is shared with member organizations. For races called by AP, the expected vote percentage (EVP) is estimated based on factors like recent election turnout and early voting details. We mark a candidate as having a lead once AP has tabulated at least 35% of the expected vote, with a minimum two-percentage-point lead required.
Credits
This project was brought to life by the Hearst Newspapers DevHub team, including Vivien Ngo, Maren Kranking, and Andrew Williams, who handled development, production, and graphics. Ying Zhao, Evan Wagstaff, and Tazbia Fatima contributed to data development. Danielle Rindler designed, produced, and edited the content, while Brittany Schell managed the project. Illustrations were created by Liz Hart. Special thanks to the Hearst Newspapers DevHub (https://www.sfchronicle.com/projects/about-the-devhub-hearst-newspapers/) for making this possible.
Originally Published
This article was originally published on March 3, 2026, and has since been updated to reflect the latest developments. Check back for further updates as the election season unfolds!
